China ends 1-child policy, now allows 2

China announced the end of its hugely controversial one-child policy on Thursday, after decades of strict, sometimes brutal enforcement left it with an ageing population and shrinking workforce, heightening the challenges of slowing growth.

All couples will be allowed two children, the official Xinhua news agency reported, citing a communique issued by the ruling Communist Party following a four-day meeting in Beijing.

The historic change was “intended to balance population development and address the challenge of an ageing population”, Xinhua said.

Campaigners welcomed the move, but stressed that a “two-child policy” still meant that China would retain population control mechanisms — while demographic changes will take decades to have an effect, and previous loosenings led to fewer extra births than expected.

The policy, instituted in the late 1970s, restricted most couples to only a single offspring and for years authorities argued that it was a key contributor to China’s economic boom. It was enforced by a dedicated national commission with a system of fines for violators and often forced abortions, leading to heartrending tales of loss for would-be parents.

But China’s population — the world’s largest at 1.37 billion — is now ageing rapidly, gender imbalances are severe, and its workforce is shrinking.

The concerns led to limited reforms in 2013, including allowing a second child for some couples in urban areas, but relatively few have taken up the opportunity.

Human rights organisations welcomed the change to the deeply unpopular policy, but expressed reservations about remaining controls. It was “good news for the couples who wish to have a second child,” Maya Wang of Human Rights Watch said, but “the restrictions on reproduction rights remain in China”.

“As long as the quotas and system of surveillance remains, women still do not enjoy reproductive rights,” she said, adding that change in policy was for “primarily economic reasons”.

Amnesty International’s William Nee said on Twitter: “‘Two Child Policy’ won’t end forced sterilisations, forced abortions, gov control over birth permits.”

The Communist leadership met in Beijing to discuss ways to put the country’s stuttering economy back on a smooth growth path as it struggles with structural inefficiencies and social policies left over from an era before it embraced market reforms.

Known as the fifth plenum, the conclave discussed the next Five-Year Plan for China — the 13th since the People’s Republic was founded in 1949.

Over four days of meetings the 205 members of the Central Committee, plus around 170 alternates, examined the specifics of the plan, which was largely worked out through a process of national consultations before the leaders even set foot in the capital. The country’s rubber-stamp legislature will officially approve the resulting document next year.

China has enjoyed a decades-long boom since the ruling party embraced market economics and opened up to the rest of the world from the late 1970s.

The process has transformed the livelihoods of hundreds of millions of people and propelled the country to global prominence.

The meeting reiterated the Communist Party’s goal to double 2010 GDP by 2020, as part of its aim to achieve a “moderately prosperous society” by the 100th anniversary of its founding.

Yong Cai, a sociology professor at University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill and expert on the one-child policy, said the change announced Thursday was “at least 10 years later than it should be”.

“But better than never,” he added.

Some key facts about the controversial one-child policy in China which was enforced in the late 1970s: Q: Why was the one-child policy enacted A: China’s family planning law, which limited many couples to having one child only, was formally implemented in the late 1970s as a means of controlling its population, the world’s largest. Authorities say that avoiding overpopulation has helped speed China’s rapid economic development since then.

Q: How did it work A: At first the rule was one child for all couples. Later on, regulations began to vary and loosen in different parts of the country. In recent years urban couples have generally been allowed only one child, but two if both parents were only children themselves. Rural families were allowed two if the first was a girl, while ethnic minorities were allowed an extra offspring, leading some to dub it a “one-and-a-half- child” policy. The policy was long enforced by China’s family planning commission, now merged with the health ministry, whose hundreds of thousands of personnel rely on permits, fines and, in some cases, forced sterilisation and late-term abortions.

Q: What were its effects A: The government argues that the policy has prevented about 400 million births, keeping the nation’s population at roughly 1.37 billion today. But it also led to sex-selective abortions or infanticide targeting girls. Families also became lopsided, with one single child caring for four grandparents and two parents, a significant financial burden for many.

Q: Was Thursday’s change expected A: China announced an earlier loosening of the policy in 2013, allowing couples where only one was an only child to have a second offspring. Many experts predicted the government would soon be forced to loosen the policy in the face of an ageing population, shrinking workforce and stagnant birth rate.

Q: What happens now A: China’s various provinces and regions will be responsible for implementing changes at the local level, but there was no immediate timetable announced on Thursday.

Q: Is a baby boom coming A: Unlikely. Previous instances when the policy was loosened did not lead to major birth explosions, with the 2013 reform a particular example.

The latest change applies to far more couples, but raising children is becoming more expensive and in recent years more couples have chosen to forego children altogether.